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1 of 8 0-day streak

Determine the long-run state of a transition model

Question 1 of 8

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An annual survey records the nesting site used by each tagged bird. Counts are represented by column state matrices

One application of the transition matrix represents one year. In \(S_n\), the index \(n\) counts the number of applications from \(S_0\)

Use the state order North site and River site. Each column of \(T\) is a current state and each row is the next state. The entries of each state matrix are counts of birds

\[T = \begin{bmatrix} 0.9 & 0.05 \\ 0.1 & 0.95 \end{bmatrix}\]
\[S_0 = \begin{bmatrix} 49 \\ 305 \end{bmatrix}\]

Use probe indices 10 and 34. Give probe counts to the nearest whole count

(a)2 marks

Use the transition proportions to give the exact long-run state

(b)1 mark

Which statement describes what happens in the long run?