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Question 1 of 8

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A target experiment selects one item from a finite population. The category counts are amber: 4, blue: 2, with total 6

The selected item is returned before the next trial. Let \(E\) be the event that the outcome is amber

The target probability is \(\Pr(E)\) = \(\frac{2}{3}\)

The simulation used the following procedure

Use a random-number generator that returns one of the integers 1 to 24 with equal probability

Map outcomes 1 to 16 to amber and outcomes 17 to 24 to blue

Reset the device before the next trial

Treat one complete selection as one trial

Run 1 recorded amber: 12, blue: 3, giving 15 trials in total

(a)2 marks

Record the two counts needed to estimate the probability from the run or runs

(b)1 mark

Calculate the Run 1 estimate as a fraction or terminating decimal

Format: 1 d.p. or exact fraction
(c)1 mark

Choose the statement that interprets this simulated result correctly