Design and interpret a probability simulation
A target experiment selects one item from a finite population. The category counts are amber: 1, blue: 5, green: 4, with total 10
The selected item is returned before the next trial. Let \(E\) be the event that the outcome is not green
The target probability is \(\Pr(E)\) = \(\frac{3}{5}\)
The simulation used the following procedure
Use a container holding 40 equally likely numbered tokens
Map outcomes 1 to 4 to amber, outcomes 5 to 24 to blue and outcomes 25 to 40 to green
Reset the device before the next trial
Treat one complete selection as one trial
Run 1 recorded amber: 1, blue: 7, green: 7, giving 15 trials in total